Methodology
A weather scale for the economy
Economic Temperature translates public economic evidence into a 0–40°C state that ordinary people can discuss without reading a macro dashboard.
The fixed anchors
- 0°CDepression-level economic freeze
- 10°COrdinary people clearly feel economic difficulty
- 15°CCautious, but not a severe recession
- 20°CNormal, but not booming
- 25°CThe economy generally feels good
- 30°CClearly prosperous with early overheating
- 40°CExtreme bubble or inflationary boom
Five dimensions
Employment
Real income & cost
Consumption & confidence
Housing
Business environment
Multiple independent judgments
Each model assesses the same evidence cutoff. The published result is the median, which reduces the impact of one unusual output.
What it is not
It is not an official statistic, a linear score, a market forecast, or investment advice.